What is happening today in Ukraine is seen by some as a major reshaping of power structures in the world. The misguided sanctions against Russia have exposed the weaknesses of the American empire, and we are seeing an economic crisis in the West, while the Russians seem to be faring unashamedly well. Moreover, the dollar is losing its role as a world currency. If this trend continues, what will the world look like in 20-30 years?
The Euro-Asian Confederation
Putin’s old dream from the 1990s of a free trade zone from Lisbon to Vladivostok finally became a reality. After a border dispute near Alaska, the Russians sank an entire aircraft carrier convoy with a few supersonic missiles. Suddenly the world realised that American military superiority was mostly an expensive façade. When Germany and Russia began to work together, and the combination of German engineering and Russian natural resources led to great economic development, the other European countries naturally wanted to share in the success. The EU had already been dismantled, and a new, looser form of cooperation was developing in the form of a confederation.
The North American Union
After the defeat of Russia and the loss of Alaska, the Americans turned inwards, and began to address their domestic problems. After numerous secession attempts and impending civil wars, the states finally united in a union, with strong self-government, and weaker central power in Washington. And after a long period of stagnation, they are back on track.
The Chinese miracle is in decline. Although it has annexed Mongolia and acquired colonies in Africa, its economy and rate of innovation are not as strong as they once were.
The Japanese Empire
When the Americans withdrew, Japan promised military aid to the reunified Korea, the Philippines and Indonesia against China. The defence alliance developed into a veritable empire, with the Japanese ruling with a strong hand. And they account for much of the world’s technological development.
The Indian Alliance
The Indian Alliance was created as a counter to Chinese and Japanese imperialism. India and its allies are now a major economic power, and society is known for openness and tolerance.
After the withdrawal of the United States from the world stage, the Middle East was open to a strong conquering nation, and the Persians took their chance. Through alliances and conquests, they now dominate the region.
Despite their seemingly strong military power, the Turks have often struggled economically, preventing them from becoming a truly great power. Pushed by Europeans and Persians, Turkey instead turned eastwards, towards the other Turkic-speaking peoples and formed a union with them. It is now a major player in trade between the West and the East.
The giant country of Brazil soon came to dominate most of South America and formed a union with its neighbours. After the decline of the United States, the Commonwealth is the economic engine of the Americas.